Coverage dated October 8, 2026 to October 14, 2026

New poll reveals surprising shift in Texas Senate race after Talarico’s 13-day absence

Headline from MLive, on the newest of 2 developments

The new Marist poll showed that 48% of registered voters planned to support James Talarico in November’s election, while 44% planned to support Ken Paxton.

MLive's own description from its feed. We collect headlines and these descriptions, not full articles; read the original reporting below.

Earlier updates in this story

Developments in this update

2 dated developments, oldest first, newest marked. Each is named by one outlet's own headline; open its reports to see every outlet that covered it.

  1. Texas U.S. Senate race: New poll shows voter discontent, raising hopes of write-in candidates

    Headline from Fox7 Austin ·

  2. Newest

    New poll reveals surprising shift in Texas Senate race after Talarico’s 13-day absence

    Headline from MLive ·

3 reports not tied to one development ·

Read the reports

Reports & sources

23 articles, oldest first.

  1. Newsweek

    James Talarico Faces the Texas Turnout Test That Thwarted Beto O'Rourke (opens Newsweek)

    Published

    Newsweek's feed description

    Talarico leads Paxton in Texas, but turnout uncertainty and O’Rourke’s 2018 campaign complicate the polling picture.

  2. Newsweek

    James Talarico Edges Out Ken Paxton in Poll as He Returns to Campaign Trail (opens Newsweek)

    Published

    Newsweek's feed description

    Although Texas is historically a Republican-leaning state, polls show a tightening race in the November's midterm elections.

  3. Texas Tribune

    On the issues: A Q&A with U.S. Senate candidates James Talarico, Ken Paxton and Ted Brown (opens Texas Tribune)

    Published

    Texas Tribune's feed description

    Ken Paxton and James Talarico are in a close race for Texas’ U.S. Senate seat, with Ted Brown also on the ballot. See where they stand on THC, data centers and Flock cameras. Talarico and Brown answered our questions; Paxton did not, so we used his past public statements to describe his positions.

  4. PoliticusUSA

    JD Vance Shows Republicans Are Terrified Of Talarico In Texas (opens PoliticusUSA)

    Published

    PoliticusUSA's feed description

    The White House sent JD Vance to Texas to suggest that Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico is gay, which shows how desperate and scared Republicans are in the Lone Star State.

  5. Newsweek

    JD Vance Warns Talarico Is a 'Threat' as Democrat Edges Out Paxton in Texas (opens Newsweek)

    Published

    Newsweek's feed description

    Vice President JD Vance cast Democrat James Talarico as a left-wing liberal masquerading as a moderate at a Texas rally.

  6. Breitbart News

    Ken Paxton Leads James Talarico in Texas Senate Poll (opens Breitbart News)

    Published

    Breitbart News's feed description

    Republican Ken Paxton leads Democrat James Talarico in a new Texas Senate poll released on Tuesday, taking a lead of 47.2 percent to 46.7 percent in the most expensive contest of the 2026 midterm cycle.

  7. Townhall

  8. Fox7 Austin

    Texas U.S. Senate race: New poll shows voter discontent, raising hopes of write-in candidates (opens Fox7 Austin)

    Published

    Fox7 Austin's feed description

    A new poll shows the race for the U.S. Senate in Texas remains close, but that poll also shows there is growing discontent with both leading candidates. New poll released in Talarico vs Paxton race The official ballot will have three names on it for the Senate: Libertarian Ted Brown, Republican Ken …

  9. Washington Examiner

    Does anyone want to win this race? Talarico and Paxton stumble to finish line in Texas Senate contest (opens Washington Examiner)

    Published

    Washington Examiner's feed description

    One candidate abruptly disappeared from the campaign trail for more than a week. The other seemingly can’t stop being recorded or filmed in embarrassing situations. Having already spent more than $500 million in combined ad spending, the Texas Senate race is one of the messiest battlegrounds of the …

  10. PoliticusUSA

    James Talarico Is Close To Victory In Texas (opens PoliticusUSA)

    Published

    PoliticusUSA's feed description

    Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico is leading Republican Ken Paxton by two points in a poll that was (+14) Republican because that was Trump’s margin of victory in 2024.

  11. KXAN Austin

    New Texas polling shows Talarico, Hinojosa leading Paxton, Abbott in tight races (opens KXAN Austin)

    Published

    KXAN Austin's feed description

    A new UT/Texas Politics Project poll finds James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa narrowly leading Ken Paxton and Greg Abbott, with all results within the margin of error.

  12. Objectivist

    Ken Paxton Seizes Narrow Lead Over James Talarico in New Texas Senate Poll (opens Objectivist)

    Published

    Objectivist's feed description

    A Quantus Insights poll places Ken Paxton narrowly ahead of James Talarico, powered by 87% Republican support and a 34 point rural advantage, with early voting set to open in just one week.

  13. Forbes

    Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Talarico Ahead In Texas Senate Race In 2 New Polls (Updated Daily) (opens Forbes)

    Published

    Forbes's feed description

    Trump has a 38% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s poll tracker.

  14. Texas Tribune

    It’s not just Talarico. New Texas poll shows Dems statistically tied in key statewide races (opens Texas Tribune)

    Published

    Texas Tribune's feed description

    Republicans trail behind Democrats in voter enthusiasm, a University of Texas/Texas Politics Project University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows.

  15. Fox7 Austin

    Texas Senate race remains a dead heat as early voting approaches (opens Fox7 Austin)

    Published

    Fox7 Austin's feed description

    Texas' top candidates for the U.S. Senate again find themselves in a virtual tie with less than a week before early voting begins. Talarico leads Paxton in latest poll, but remains within margin of error Democrat James Talarico has a three-point lead over Republican Ken Paxton in the latest poll fro…

  16. The Hill

    In Texas, 3 new polls show Talarico with slight lead (opens The Hill)

    Published

    The Hill's feed description

    New polls show tight contests in Texas in the race for U.S. Senate and governor. Three new polls released Tuesday and Wednesday show state Rep. James Talarico (D) leading Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) in the closely-watched Texas Senate race.

  17. GOP Daily Brief

    New Quantus Poll Shows Ken Paxton Leading James Talarico In Record $440 Million Texas Senate Race (opens GOP Daily Brief)

    Published

    GOP Daily Brief's feed description

    For nearly four decades, Texas has sent Republicans – and only Republicans – to the United States Senate. No Democrat has pulled it off since...

  18. MLive

    New poll reveals surprising shift in Texas Senate race after Talarico’s 13-day absence (opens MLive)

    Published

    MLive's feed description

    The new Marist poll showed that 48% of registered voters planned to support James Talarico in November’s election, while 44% planned to support Ken Paxton.

Identical headlines usually mean shared wire copy. They are counted as separate articles but are not independent confirmation.