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Coverage dated February 17, 2025 to February 19, 2025

Odds of 'City Killer' Asteroid Impact in 2032 Now Even Higher, Says NASA

Headline from Science Alert, from the development of Feb 18, 2025

Newest development Feb 20, 2025 · 2 reportsHere Are Our Defense Options Against Potential 'City Killer' Asteroid Impact

An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released Tuesday – making it the most threatening space rock ever recorded by modern forecasting.

Science Alert's own description from its feed. We collect headlines and these descriptions, not full articles; read the original reporting below.

Developments in this update

2 dated developments, oldest first, newest marked. Each is named by one outlet's own headline; open its reports to see every outlet that covered it.

  1. Names this update

    Odds of 'City Killer' Asteroid Impact in 2032 Now Even Higher, Says NASA

    Headline from Science Alert ·

  2. Newest

    Here Are Our Defense Options Against Potential 'City Killer' Asteroid Impact

    Headline from Science Alert ·

Read the reports

Reports & sources

16 articles, oldest first.

  1. BGR

    City-killer asteroid could strike the Moon instead of Earth, reports claim (opens BGR)

    Published

    BGR's feed description

    New reports suggest that the city-killer asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit the Moon instead of Earth when it passes by again in 2032.

  2. Fox News

    Odds of massive asteroid striking Earth increase again: NASA (opens Fox News)

    Published

    Fox News's feed description

    The chances of an asteroid as large as the width of an NFL field striking Earth continue to tick up, according to NASA.

  3. Newsweek

    NASA issues update on "city-killer" asteroid's chances of hitting Earth (opens Newsweek)

    Published

    Newsweek's feed description

    Space agencies monitoring the Y24 asteroid said there was a 2.6-percent chance of impact with Earth, up from 2.2 percent a few weeks ago.

  4. New York Post

    The odds of the ‘city-killing’ asteroid hitting Earth just went up (opens New York Post)

    Published

    New York Post's feed description

    NASA just increased the odds that "city-killer" asteroid YR4 2024 will strike our planet in 2032. The space agency claimed that the dangerous space rock now has a 1-in-38, or 2.6%, chance of hitting home -- the highest probability of a collision yet, New Scientist has reported.

  5. Jalopnik

    Chances Of City-Killing Asteroid Impact In 2032 Upped To 1 in 43 (opens Jalopnik)

    Published

    Jalopnik's feed description

    No word yet on whether NASA has reached out to Bruce Willis

  6. New York Post

    Odds of ‘city-killer’ asteroid hitting Earth increase again, hitting ‘historic’ milestone (opens New York Post)

    Published

    New York Post's feed description

    The odds that "city killer" asteroid 2024 YR4 will strike our planet just increased again, hitting a "historic" threshold.

  7. Scientific American

    ‘City Killer’ Asteroid’s Earth Impact Risk Rises to Highest Ever Recorded (opens Scientific American)

    Published

    Scientific American's feed description

    Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 3.1 percent chance of hitting Earth, astronomers say—but there’s no need to panic yet

  8. Science Alert

    Odds of 'City Killer' Asteroid Impact in 2032 Now Even Higher, Says NASA (opens Science Alert)

    Published

    Science Alert's feed description

    An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released Tuesday – making it the most threatening space rock ever recorded by modern forecasting.

  9. Phys

    'City killer' asteroid now has 3.1% chance of hitting Earth: NASA (opens Phys)

    Published

    Phys's feed description

    An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released Tuesday—making it the most threatening space rock ever recorded by modern forecasting.

  10. Newsweek

    Chances of "city killer" asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 reach new high (opens Newsweek)

    Published

    Newsweek's feed description

    The chances that an asteroid hits Earth in 2032 are now at their highest since the object was first discovered, according to NASA.

  11. Jalopnik

    City-Killing Asteroid's Odds To Strike Earth Increased To 1 In 32 (opens Jalopnik)

    Published

    Jalopnik's feed description

    Odds will continue increasing until trajectory calculations improve.

  12. BGR

    This city-killer asteroid's chance of hitting Earth in 2032 keeps rising (opens BGR)

    Published

    BGR's feed description

    The chance that a city-killer asteroid will impact Earth in 2032 is steadily rising. Here's what you need to know.

  13. Science Alert

    Here Are Our Defense Options Against Potential 'City Killer' Asteroid Impact (opens Science Alert)

    Published

    Science Alert's feed description

    There is a very small chance that an asteroid capable of taking out an entire city could strike Earth in less than eight years.

  14. Fox News

    NASA looking for ways to destroy asteroid that could strike Earth, kill city (opens Fox News)

    Published

    Fox News's feed description

    NASA and other space agencies are attempting to come up with a way to destroy a massive asteroid unlikely to strike Earth.

  15. New York Post

    NASA lowers impact risk of ‘city-killer’ asteroid 2024 YR4 — but we’re not out of the woods (opens New York Post)

    Published

    New York Post's feed description

    After reaching apocalyptic levels yesterday, the odds of "city killer" asteroid 2024 YR4 striking our planet have dropped dramatically.

Identical headlines usually mean shared wire copy. They are counted as separate articles but are not independent confirmation.

Odds of 'City Killer' Asteroid Impact in 2032 Now Even Higher, Says NASA | Since Then