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Coverage dated February 11, 2025 to February 17, 2025

Odds of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth go up again

Headline from Fox10 Phoenix, from the development of Feb 13, 2025

Newest development Feb 18, 2025 · 3 reportsChance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports

Updates on Asteroid 2024 YR4 have been slower during the full Moon, but experts say the precision of the object’s orbit is getting better. In March, NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope will focus on the potential threat to Earth providing the best estimate of its size.

Fox10 Phoenix's own description from its feed. We collect headlines and these descriptions, not full articles; read the original reporting below.

Developments in this update

4 dated developments, oldest first, newest marked. Each is named by one outlet's own headline; open its reports to see every outlet that covered it.

  1. Newly Discovered Asteroid 2024 YR4 Is at Risk of Hitting Earth. What Do We Do?

    Headline from Scientific American ·

  2. Names this update

    Odds of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth go up again

    Headline from Fox10 Phoenix ·

  3. NASA: 1.6% chance newly discovered asteroid will impact Earth in 2032

    Headline from UPI ·

  4. Newest

    Chance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports

    Headline from Live Science ·

Read the reports

Reports & sources

14 articles, oldest first.

  1. Scientific American

    Newly Discovered Asteroid 2024 YR4 Is at Risk of Hitting Earth. What Do We Do? (opens Scientific American)

    Published

    Scientific American's feed description

    News of an asteroid with a 2 percent chance of hitting Earth in 2032 made headlines. But is its fluctuating risk really cause for concern?

  2. NPR

    How do astronomers track asteroids that could threaten Earth? (opens NPR)

    Published

    NPR's feed description

    Over the next several weeks, astronomers will be looking closely at an asteroid called 2024 YR4 that could be as big as a football field as they try to determine how likely it is to strike Earth in 2032.

  3. Phys

    Why asteroid 2024 YR4 is unlikely to hit Earth in 2032 and how scientists keep track (opens Phys)

    Published

    Phys's feed description

    The threat of a newly discovered asteroid has risen slightly in the past few weeks, as the world

  4. Newsweek

    NASA issues update on chance of asteroid hitting Earth (opens Newsweek)

    Published

    Newsweek's feed description

    The 2024 YR4 asteroid is currently the most dangerous space object near Earth.

  5. Fox10 Phoenix

    2024 YR4: What to know about the asteroid that could hit Earth in the future (opens Fox10 Phoenix)

    Published

    Fox10 Phoenix's feed description

    Scientists across the world, including some in Arizona, are keeping an eye on an asteroid that has a very slim chance of hitting earth in the near future. Here's what to know about asteroid 2024 YR4.

  6. CBS News

    Expert shares key facts about asteroid that could hit Earth in 2032 (opens CBS News)

    Published

    CBS News's feed description

    The head of planetary defense at the European Space Agency discusses 2024 YR4, an asteroid with a small chance of striking Earth eight years from now.

  7. Time

    Do You Need to Worry About an Asteroid Hitting Earth? (opens Time)

    Published

    Time's feed description

    An incoming space rock could collide with our planet in 2032—but the odds are low.

  8. UPI

    NASA: 1.6% chance newly discovered asteroid will impact Earth in 2032 (opens UPI)

    Published

    UPI's feed description

    NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory has declared a 1.6% chance that a large asteroid would strike the Earth when on Dec. 22, 2032.

  9. CNN

    An asteroid has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Here’s how astronomers are tracking it (opens CNN)

    Published

    CNN's feed description

    Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it to refine estimates of its size and orbit to see how much of a risk the space rock poses.

  10. Gizmodo

    Odds of Asteroid Hitting Earth in 2032 Climb Again as Impact Probability Hits New Peak (opens Gizmodo)

    Published

    Gizmodo's feed description

    2024 YR4's odds jumped to a 1-in-32 chance of impact, though that number will likely fall as the asteroid continues to be monitored.

  11. Live Science

    Chance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports (opens Live Science)

    Published

    Live Science's feed description

    NASA has increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, up from 1 in 42 as reported in previous calculations.

  12. Fox10 Phoenix

    Odds of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth go up again (opens Fox10 Phoenix)

    Published

    Fox10 Phoenix's feed description

    Updates on Asteroid 2024 YR4 have been slower during the full Moon, but experts say the precision of the object’s orbit is getting better. In March, NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope will focus on the potential threat to Earth providing the best estimate of its size.

  13. BNO News

    NASA increases Earth impact probability for asteroid 2024 YR4 to 2.6% (opens BNO News)

    Published

    BNO News's feed description

    Asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 2.6% chance of impacting Earth in 2032, according to a new analysis from NASA, up from 2.2% in their last assessment. 2024 YR4 was discovered in late December and is estimated to be between 130 and 300 feet (40 to 90 meters) in diameter, according to the International Ast…

Identical headlines usually mean shared wire copy. They are counted as separate articles but are not independent confirmation.

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