Coverage dated November 3, 2026

96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

Headline from The Hill

Recently updated election models from Harvard University forecast a strong chance of Democrats winning a majority of seats in the House and the Senate in the midterm elections. The chances of Democrats taking the House is as good as 96 percent, the Harvard model forecasts.

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  1. The Hill

    96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model (opens The Hill)

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    The Hill's feed description

    Recently updated election models from Harvard University forecast a strong chance of Democrats winning a majority of seats in the House and the Senate in the midterm elections. The chances of Democrats taking the House is as good as 96 percent, the Harvard model forecasts.

  2. Revolver News

96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model | Since Then